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Buyers or Sellers?

This was recently written by me at Bleacher Report. Enjoy, and be sure to let me know what you think in the comment section!

With just over 31 days until the trade deadline, it is time Minnesota figure out what they want to do.

Should they buy and try to continue hanging with the White Sox? Or do they sell and build for the future, whether it be the near future or 2015?

I say both.

Or, to put it in Minnesotan words, “do what we do.” Minnesota has never been a team with last-second, big, blockbuster trades. I think Minnesota should continue to do what they have always done; make small, smart trades that cut the dead weight but still bring in the talent.

Livan Hernandez only signed a one-year contract this past offseason, so he will most likely walk away when this season ends. Why not trade him to some team that needs a good, reliable, innings eating, back-of-the-rotation kind of pitcher?

The teams that would be interested in Hernandez would be teams that are contending for their division title. Why on earth would a team looking to the future want to give up a good prospect for a ten-year veteran pitcher?

Ideally, Hernandez should be dealt to a team who gives what we need back. We don’t seem to have a need for a third baseman any more after the emergence of Brian Buscher. The rest of our infield is pretty set as well, as is our outfield. The Minnesota bullpen continues to dominate, but our rotation could use a veteran’s presence.

I wouldn’t mind trading Livan, a pitching prospect, and somebody else to a team that could provide us with a stable veteran starting pitcher.

The Los Angeles Dodgers interest me. Should they fall out of contention in the next few weeks, they could very possibly shop around both Brad Penny and Derek Lowe. While Penny always has been an injury risk, Lowe intrigues me. MLB describes him as an “innings-eating sinkerball pitcher.” Sounds perfect!

The perfect situation would be to ship Hernandez, Humber/Mulvey/Duensing, and somebody else off to Los Angeles and get Lowe in return. While this might be viewed as a “falling out of contention trade,” Lowe immediately brings much to the table.

The month of July is going to be very diffucult for Minnesota. Should they drop out of the division race before the trade deadline arrives, the Twins may opt to build for the near future.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a plethora of young pitching in their organization. The most erratic of these is Edwin Jackson, who still is very physically gifted and has a bright future ahead of him. If Minnesota were to bring him to the Twin Cities, Rick Anderson and his great pitching staff should make Jackson a great starter.

By as soon as 2010 the Minnesota rotating could look very good: Francisco Liriano, Scott Baker, Kevin Slowey, Nick Blackburn, and Edwin Jackson.

That’s the ideal situation. What else could happen?

This trade deadline action for Minnesota hinges around Hernandez. If anything “major” is going to happen, it is most likely going to involve this veteran innings eater.

A team like the New York Yankees or the Chicago Cubs could trade for him and place them in their shaky rotations in an attempt to stable things out. Minnesota probably wouldn’t have much of a bargaining opportunity if major market teams like these express any interest in Hernandez.

The Twins could also deal for an infielder with lots of pop. Casey Blake comes to mind, as he could help this team both this year and into the future. Minnesota could get him rather cheap, possibly even while cutting ties with Hernandez.

Andy LaRoche is another possibility. He is described as a “power hitting third baseman” and recently came back from an injury involving his thumb.

Whatever Minnesota does, it will be very fun to watch. This team could go three ways before the deadline: fall out of contention and become sellers, gain ground from Chicago and become buyers, or stay right in the middle and “do what we do”.

What do you think Minnesota should do, if anything?

Organizational Top 10: First Base

All stats current as of June 30

1. Justin Morneau, Minnesota Twins

Morneau, the former AL MVP, is wanted on nearly every teams’ roster. He has great power and hits for a good average. Through 82 games this year Morneau is hitting .306/.368/.483. He has a total of 12 home runs, but 51 strikeouts. His defense is outstanding as well. He has made two errors so far in 2008, bringing his fielding percentage down to .997. Throughout his career he holds a .995 fielding percentage.

There are others on this Twins team that can make an occasional start at first base, so there isn’t really another pure first baseman in the dugout every night. Michael Cuddyer, Mike Lamb, and even Nick Punto can play at first base effectively.

2. Randy Ruiz, Rochester Red Wings

Ruiz is tearing up Rochester this year, batting .303/.354/.495 through 82 games. He also has eleven home runs so far this season. His career batting average is an even .300, but he is 30 years old. If he isn’t called up soon he probably won’t ever be.

3. Brock Peterson, New Britain Rock Cats

At 24 years old, Peterson is waiting in the wings for that promotion to Rochester. He isn’t batting great right now, though; hitting .255/.327/.414 through 75 games. His defense isn’t stellar either. He currently has a fielding percentage of .985.

4. Johnny Woodard, Fort Myers Miracle

Woodard is showing great promise with the Miracle. He is only 23 years old, and is trying to find his groove against High A pitching. He is batting .262/.346/.433 through 39 games. He has already made five errors this year, bring his fielding percentage down to .982.

5. Rene Leveret, Beloit Snappers

Leveret was recently called up from the E-Twins and is now a member of the Beloit Snappers. He was doing great through seven games with the E-Twins, batting .306/.405/.556. He has only made two starts with Beloit, though, and is batting .143/.333/.286. That number should not stay that low, however. At 22 years old he could be one of the future first basemen of the Minnesota Twins.

6. Felix Caro, DSL Twins

Caro is an astounding 18 years old, and is greatly improving in the DSL league. He isn’t batting well through 23 games, .211/.300/.352, but should make great strides to improve in the future.

7. Jonathan Waltenbury, E-Twins

Waltenbury is tearing up Rookie ball while with the Elizabethton Twins, batting .400/.460/.711 through ten games. He is only 20 years old and could be one of the main candidates for “first baseman of the future” after Morneau leaves.

8. Dominic De La Osa, E-Twins

De La Osa is 22 years old and batting decently while with the E-Twins. He is batting .278/.435/.333 through five games. I doubt he will ever consistently be with the Big Boys in Minnesota.

9. Michael Gonzales, GCL Twins

Drafted just this year by Minnesota with the 276th overall selection, Gonzales has done great in the three games he has played in. He has a .400/.455/.600 line so far.

10. Andres Diaz, GCL Twins

Diaz was drafted last year by the Twins, and is 19 years old this year. He has only played a total of 12 games in his short career, but is sporting a .279/.326/.488 line.

Slowey Quickly Becoming Marvelous!

Obviously, the top story today is Kevin Slowey out dueling Ben Sheets as he went a full nine innings while only surrendering three hits and striking out eight. And, oh yeah, he didn’t walk a batter. There were other great performances today as well. Let’s dive into some other thoughts:

-Slowey’s start is his fourth magnificent start in a row. He has given up only three runs in his last four games. (Against the Padres, Nationals, and two against the Brewers.) His ERA during that stretch is 0.93. His ERA drops to 3.47 after this most regem.

-Alexi Casilla was back in the lineup today after being lifted from Friday’s game with an injury. I don’t think there are any after effects. He went 2-4 with an RBI double in the seventh.

-Michael Cuddyer, on the other hand will be forced to sit out at least 15 games with a strained tendon on his left index finger. Gardy says Cuddy is frustrated, which is a good thing. It will get him working harder and he will have his mind set on returning as soon as possible.

-Denard Span has been recalled from Rochester, and will take over for Cuddyer. The good news is that Kubel will be allowed to DH, which, in turn, allows Monroe to sit on the bench where he belongs. I think one of the more important moves Minnesota will have to make this year, if they want to contend, is cutting ties with Monroe and allowing Span to sit on the bench and be the fourth outfielder.

-Carlos Gomez only had one hit today, but what a hit it was. In the fifth inning Gomez tripled, scoring Brian Buscher. While Gomez still isn’t racking up the hits, he is getting better plate discipline. That’s a start anyway. By 2010 he should be among league leaders in…something…

-Brian Buscher is a freak of nature. He had another hit today and came around and scored on the aformentioned Gomez triple. His average is now .352 and he is getting closer to being able to qualify for the batting race, (but he’s still quite a ways off.)

-Delmon Young hit another two-run homer today, his second on the year. Maybe he will actually remember that stroke this time. After hitting his first dinger on June 7th Young has gone 18 games since going yard again, granted he didn’t have an official at-bat in six of those games.)

-Ben Sheets has lost for the first time in eight starts. There’s another streak that has ended. Here’s to another long win streak for the Twins! 1-0 so far!

Tomorrow Detroit comes to town and Minnesota will look to pick on the recently “tamed Tigers”. (Sorry for that horrible alliteration/metaphor, but I just couldn’t help myself.)

First pitch is 8:10 EST. Glen Perkins (4-2, 4.47) will look to rebound from previous poor starts as he faces off against the surprisingly strong Armando Galarraga (7-2, 3.32), who could possibly have the best name in baseball.

Joe Mauer Nutritional Label

Joe Mauer

Expiration date: Never.

Contains
61% Percent chance of batting title.
50% Speed
~93% of daily offense
100% ability of calling a perfect game

Caution!
-Do not use on day games after night games!
-Keep out of reach of children!
-Do not hesitate to threaten to put Redmond in as starter
if Mauer acts up.

It's Over

This picture from Yahoo! Sports pretty much sums up the Twin’s night. The streak is over, but the season isn’t. Here are a few thoughts:

-Excellent pitching from Manny Para, but just against the wrong team. While I would have loved for this streak to continue, I actually don’t really care all the much. Minnesota has won nine of the last ten, certainly nothing to sneeze at. The South Siders won again tonight, pushing the division lead to one and a half. Oh, to have won just one game in that previous four game sweep agains the ChiSox.

-Michael Cuddyer sat out tonight with a “strained tendon in his left index finger.” No word yet as to whether he will return soon. I, for one, hope that he doesn’t miss another 17 games like he did in April.

-Jason Kubel got the start tonight in right field. Of the outfield positions, right field is the one he is least familiar with, at least during his professional career. In his first stint in the majors in2004, Kubel made only eight starts in right through the 23 games he played in. In 2006 he had seven right field starts, and in 2007, his first full year as a Twin, he didn’t make a single start in right field. He already has 16 through 69 games this year and could get more action there if Cuddyer’s finger doesn’t heal.

-After being lifted from the game last night (figuratively, not literally…that would have made the news) Casilla was also inactive tonight. No word as to what he suffered, but Gardy gives indications that all systems will be go on Sunday.

-That June 25th game against San Diego aside, Carlos Gomez has only four hits in the last eight games. Reason to be concerned?

-Not the best start for Hernandez. He went a solid seving innings, but gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits. He struck out five and walked four. Besides that, though, I was proud of him for how long he lasted. His final pitch count was 115, with 70 of those being strikes.

Let’s brush this loss aside now as we prepare for Ben Sheets (9-1, 2.59). Those numbers look deadly. Let’s hope that the Twins can find their bats in the midst of all the champaign that was set out for celebrating another possible win. Kevin Slowey (4-6, 3.96) will lead the Minnesota troops into batte on Sunday afternoon at 2:10 EST.

Organizational Top 10: Catchers

We are about half way into the 2008 season, so what better time than now to launch a new series? In this new annual feature I will rank/list the top ten current players on the Minnesota Twins and all their minor league affiliates for every position. All statistics are current as of June 26th, 2008, and all rankings are based on where the player is in the organization.

First up are the catchers.

1. Joe Mauer, Minnesota Twins

Mauer is in his fifth year as a Minnesota Twin. During that time he has been one of the most consistent batters in the entire organization. His career average is .315, and he has only two seasons when his average dipped below .300; .294 in 2005 and .293 in 2007. Mauer has never been known as a power hitter as his high in home runs came in 2006 when he had 13. There is no doubt that he is the best catcher in this organization. Actually, there is little doubt that he is one of the best catchers in the league.

2. Mike Redmond, Minnesota Twins

Redmond is a quality backup catcher in MLB. He is losing the skill he once had as he is 37 years old, but is still very effective. He usually takes over for Mauer on day games after night games. Redmond has never had more than four home runs in a single season during his 11 year career, but is a great role player and is a good mentor for younger players. Redmond also provides some humor to the clubhouse.

3. Jose Morales, Rochester Red Wings

Morales flew up nearly everyone’s board by hitting .311/.366/.399 with the Rochester Red Wings last year. He hasn’t been the fastest mover through the organization, spending two years in rookie ball, one in single A, one and a half in high A, one and a half in AA, and 2008 is his second year as a Red Wing. He is ready and waiting for Redmond to retire so he can assume that coveted backup role.

4. Jeff Christy, Rochester Red Wings

Christy was called up to Rochester a few days ago. He is rapidly moving his way up among the organization, spending 2006 in the Rookie League, high A, and double A ball. In 2007 he was promoted mid-season to New Britain, and again, he was called up to Rochester a few days ago. After the loss of Eli Whiteside, the Red Wings found themselves with one catcher, and they brought up Christy to back Morales up.

5. Drew Butera, New Britain Rock Cats

Butera came aboard last year from the New York Mets in the Castillo trade. He is currently hitting .233/.325/.360. He has never hit above .235, and doesn’t drive in many runs. Butera isn’t very fast either, only have four stolen base attempts in his career. He will never be a great hitter, but supposedly has the game smarts and defensive ability to thrive in the majors some day.

6. Rodolfo Palacios, New Britain Rock Cats

Palacios is currently backing up Butera in New Britain. He was called up from Fort Meyers a few days ago, where he had a season line of .231/.275/.262. He doesn’t have much power at all, as he has never hit a home run or triple is his professional career. He is not very fast, as he only has one stolen base attempt in his career, which he failed.

7. Wilson Ramos, Fort Myers Miracle

Much is being made of Ramos and his potential as a major league catcher. He was called up after last season to the Fort Meyers Miracle and has since posted a .254/.315/.405 line through 74 games. He should move his way through the organization very fast and should be a great major leaguer.

8. Allan de San Miguel, Fort Myers Miracle

De San Miguel was called up from Beloit a few days ago. He now sits at Fort Meyers, sharing starts with Ramos. He doesn’t have the best arm, catching only two of the ten people who attempted to steal a base off him while with Beloit. He doesn’t have the best bat, either. His line is currently .123/.224/.215.

9. Jair Fernandez, Beloit Snappers

Fernandez has a good line of .283/.333/.370 so far in low A ball. He will likely be promoted at the end of this year to Fort Meyers. He currently has 20 RBI through 36 games, and doesn’t strike out much. He, at age 21, has a great future ahead of him if he can stay on top of low A pitching.

10. Greg Yerisch, Beloit Snappers

Yersich does not have the best bat, and that may keep him down in low A Beloit for a while. His line currently sits at .195/.258/.325. He doesn’t have the best arm in the world, and he strikes out a lot. He tore up rookie league pitching last year, though, hitting .311/.373/.409. Unless he can prove that he can hit low A pitching, he will not be moved up.

Mauer Slams Out of Slump

Joe Mauer was the hero Friday night as he belted a home run over the right center field wall in the eighth inning to push the score to 7-6, advantage Twins.

It was a close game, but Minnesota still came out on top to extend their winning streak to ten. Here are some thoughts:

-A poor start from Blackburn. He went only four and two thirds innings, giving up six runs on nine hits. He didn’t allow a walk, and struck out five. His ERA balloons to 4.05. This Brewer offense is very hot right now, having won eight of the last ten before tonight’s game. I love Milwaukee. They have a great, young team just bursting with potential. I have a feeling that these interleague matchups with out “rival” will be won by Milwaukee in the future years.

-Kubel had an outstanding game as the designated hitter, going 2-3 with two RBI and two runs scored, including a home run to right field. He is really trying to show Gardy something as he attempts to beat out Monroe for the majority of DH starts. He is certainly winning that battle.

-Brian Buscher for once had a decent game. He wasn’t spectacular, only getting one hit in four at-bats, but batted in a run in the seventh inning. He now has 15 RBI in 15 games since being called up. His average currently sits at .375.

-Delmon Young also had a great game, going 3-4 from the plate with one RBI.

-Gardy opted to bring Punto in the game for Casilla, who had gone 2-2 with a home run. Casilla got hurt, so hopefully he won’t be out for long. But who was Gardy kidding? We all know how Punto did tonight. He went 0-2 with a walk. Punto strikes again.

-Joe Nathan had me worried in the top of the ninth. He allowed two baserunners before forcing Prince Fielder to ground out for the third out. *Whew*

Game Two of this three game series will be held tomorrow night at 7:10 EST. Minnesota will pitch Livan Hernandez, while Milwaukee will put Parra on the mound.

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Ten in a Row?

Minnesota will now return to the ‘Dome to face the team that got this winning streak started; the Milwaukee Brewers. Nick Blackburn (6-4, 3.68) will pitch tonight for Minnesota. Blackburn is becoming one of the top rookies in the American league, and is at least included in the discussion for Rookie of the Year honors.

He will take on Seth McClung (5-3, 3.79) and the also-hot Brewers. Milwaukee is 8-2 in their least ten games, but dropped the game yesterday.

Justin Morneau is currently riding a personal 17-game hitting streak. Joe Mauer, after taking the day off yesterday, will look to break out of his mini-slump (which isn’t even a real slump).

If history is anything to go by, Minnesota should win handily tonight. Milwaukee’s pitcher, McClung, is 1-2 with an 7.53 ERA in three starts against the Twins. Blackburn, on the other hand, has never faced the Brewers but has given up two or less earned runs in his last seven starts.

Daily Reading

-Dan Wade of Bleacher Report on the recent success and possible redeeming of Ron Gardenhire.
-Taylor’s Twins Talk has a bone to pick with Sid Hartman.
-Twin’s Geek takes on the Friday comments.
-The Curse of Big Papi on the “Cy-Young support group.”
-Sense from the Center with a recap of the Padre’s series.

2010 World Series Champions?

This article was originally posted by me at Bleacher Report. I thought you guys would enjoy it, and I thought it would create some good discussion. I won’t do a recap piece tonight. Baker pitched great again and Minnesota got the runs needed to win the game 3-2. Nine in a row now for Minnesota, three straight sweeps. The Twins now head back to the Dome to take on the Brewers. Is four straight sweeps a possibility?

No matter where Minnesota ends up in the AL Central this year, this season will be classified as a rebuilding year. There are a few weak spots on this young team that will get filled as the years go by. The general consensus among Twins fans is that this young team will reach it’s full potential by the year 2010.

But just how good will they be by then?

Let’s dive into my projected 2010 roster and see what we find. It is extremely hard to predict free-agency moves, so this is solely based on the current organization.

First Base

1. Justin Morneau (‘08-’13)

Morneau signed an extension this past offseason, locking him up for the next six years. He will have played six complete years of baseball by 2010, and should be in the prime of his playing career. He won the league MVP in 2006, and a few more should come his way before his career is over.

2. Randy Ruiz
3. Brock Peterson

Neither of these players is currently on the 40-man roster, and aren’t expected to be anytime soon. Morneau will play the majority of the games at first base, and when he needs a break, there are plenty of other players to take his place (Michael Cuddyer, Mike Lamb).

Second Base

1. Alexi Casilla (‘08-?)

Casilla has yet to play a full year in the majors, but he is shining in his current stint. He is considered the future of this position, and should be re-signed for multiple years as soon as the 2008 season ends, if not before.

Casilla is not as fast as Carlos Gomez, but is considered by some to be the third fastest player in MLB (after both Gomez and Jose Reyes). Casilla’s defensive skills are outstanding as well.

2. Brendan Harris
3. Matt Macri

Harris is currently 27-years old, and unless he can continue his batting success, I doubt he will be re-signed for 2010. Macri will be 28-years old going into the 2010 season, and should be much improved as both a defender and a hitter. I think Macri will serve as the shortstop in 2010, but could fill in for other infielders should he need to.

Shortstop

1. Matt Macri (‘08-?)

Macri is a great defender and should develop into a great batter before the 2010 season. He hasn’t played a game at shortstop yet this year, but I think he can adjust adequately. I expect Gardenhire to begin to move him over starting later this year.

2. Brendan Harris
3. Trevor Plouffe

Again, Harris will be in a utility-infielder role in 2010, if he is still on the team. I do not think Nick Punto will be a Twin (at least not in the big league) by this time. I doubt even Gardenhire can keep him in the lineup when he hits .210 like he did in 2007.

Plouffe will rarely, if ever, be used. He was called up to AAA earlier this season, but I doubt he will overtake Macri by 2010.

Third Base

1. Brian Buscher (‘08-?)

Buscher, in his second major-league stint, is absolutely shreading major-league pitching. He is batting .375/.400/.500 through 12 games. Much better than the man he replaced, Mike Lamb.

The Lamb experiment was a disaster from the start, and he should be long gone by 2010. After this 2008 season, Buscher should be locked up for multiple years, as he is only 27.

2. Matt Macri
3. Luke Hughes

Hughes is having an exceptional season in AA New Britain this year, and should easily advance to Rochester in 2009. However, I doubt he can up-end both Buscher and Macri in his first year in AAA. Alexi Casilla could also play an occasional game at third.

Catcher

1. Joe Mauer (‘07-’10)

Mauer will be in his contract year in 2010. This is a mixed blessing because players are supposed to play their best in contract years, but Mauer might be distracted with possible negotiations.

Although it was Terry Ryan’s philosophy not to discuss contracts during the season, new GM Bill Smith may change that. Whatever the case, expect more great play from the then-27 year old.

2. Jose Morales
3. Drew Butera

Redmond will be 39 in 2010, and he won’t be a Twin even if he wanted to be. Morales has one game of major-league experience, in which he went 3-3 with a double. Butera shouldn’t be used very often, if at all, in 2010.

Outfield

1. Michael Cuddyer (‘08-’10) + option for ‘11
2. Carlos Gomez (‘08-?)
3. Delmon Young (‘04-’08)

These three outfielders are among the league leaders in assists this year. They certainly have the defensive skill among them, and at least Cuddyer has the bat to go with it. Both Gomez and Young are extremely young and will show a significant increase in plate discipline as they progress.

4. Jason Kubel (‘08-?)
5. Denard Span (‘08-?)
6. Jason Pridie (‘08-?)

Kubel can be an everyday left fielder, but will need to move to a designated-hitter position, as Craig Monroe will no longer be a Twin in 2010. Both Span and Pridie made valiant runs for the center-field position in Spring Training, and should be ready to fill in when needed in 2010.

Starting Pitching

1. Francisco Liriano (‘08-?)
2. Scott Baker (‘08-?)
3. Kevin Slowey (‘08-?)
4. Nick Blackburn (‘08-?)
5. Glen Perkins (‘08-?)

I am not sure who the ace of this rotation will be in 2010. If Liriano can find the stuff he had in 2006, he is the clear winner. If Baker can continue pitching as he has been, he is the ace. That fifth spot is up in the air, as I think Perkins will need to change something if he wants to remain in the rotation. If Boof can improve, he may be the fifth starter.

6. Boof Bonser (‘08-?)
7. Phillip Humber
8. Brian Duensing

Boof is the only one on this list who can spot start right now, but I expect all of these guys to be able to do that in 2010. You can never have too many pitchers.

Relief Pitching

Closer: Joe Nathan (‘08-’11) + option for ‘12
Set-up: Pat Neshek (‘08-?)
Middle Reliever: Matt Guerrier (‘08-?)
Middle Reliever: Jesse Crain (‘07-’09)
Long Reliever: Brian Bass (‘08-?)

This will remain one of the best bullpens in the major leagues. Nathan will be the best closer in MLB, and Neshek will be a top-three set-up man. I think Bass will steadily improve, and I think Minnesota re-signs Crain.

Closer: Bobby Korecky (‘08-?)
Set-up: Carmen Cali
Reliever: Julio DePaula (‘08-?)

All three of these pitchers can take a few innings without a major talent drop-off.

Are the Minnesota Twins going to be contenders in 2010? They very well could be. Feel free to leave your comments and feedback below. Who do you think will be playing in 2010? Which free agents, if any, will Minnesota pick up?